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	<title>Digital Daily &#187; slowdown</title>
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	<link>http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com</link>
	<description>by John Paczkowski</description>
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		<title>Gartner: The Sky Is Falling</title>
		<link>http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20090401/gartner-sky-is-falling/</link>
		<comments>http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20090401/gartner-sky-is-falling/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 01 Apr 2009 07:00:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Digital Daily]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[John Paczkowski]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[econalypse]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[hardware]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[budget]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[business confidence]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[businesses]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bust]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[capital expenditures]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[computer]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[consumers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[decline]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[discretionary spending]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[dotcom bust]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gartner]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[global]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[information technology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Internet bubble]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[IT]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[operational]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Outlook]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Richard Gordon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[slowdown]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[spending]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[stimulus packages]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[technology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[toxic debt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[uncertainty]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/?p=15757</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Global information technology spending will fare worse in 2009 than it did during the dotcom bust of 2001. That’s the grim news from Gartner, which Tuesday predicted that worldwide IT spending will slip to $3.2 trillion this year from $3.4 trillion in 2008. If that should happen, the drop will be the greatest decline in IT spending in nearly a decade.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2009/03/chicken_little.jpg" alt="chicken_little" title="chicken_little" width="200" height="235" class="alignright size-full wp-image-15758" />Global information technology spending will fare worse in 2009 than it did during the dotcom bust of 2001. That&#8217;s the <a href="http://www.gartner.com/it/page.jsp?id=925314">grim news from Gartner</a> (IT), which Tuesday predicted that worldwide IT spending will slip to $3.2 trillion this year from $3.4 trillion in 2008. If that should happen, the drop will be the greatest decline in nearly a decade. &#8220;IT organizations worldwide are being asked to trim budgets, and consumers are cutting back on discretionary spending,&#8221; said analyst Richard Gordon. &#8220;The speed and severity of the response by businesses and consumers alike to these economic circumstances will result in an IT market slowdown in 2009 that will be worse than the 2.1% decline in IT spending in 2001, when the Internet bubble burst.&#8221; </p>
<p>No area of technology will be immune to the decline. Hardest hit: the computer hardware sector, which is expected to see spending fall 15 percent to $324.3 billion. Seems even the promise of government stimulus packages won&#8217;t be enough to offset this ugly near-term outlook. Said Gordon,  &#8220;Economic conditions have continued to erode business confidence in all regions. There is a continued general sense of uncertainty in the market and a lack of clarity of actual amount of toxic debt out there. IT organizations will look for ways to shift spending from capital expenditures to operational efficiencies.&#8221;</p>
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		<title>New from Nintendo: Super Mario Recession for Wii</title>
		<link>http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20090129/new-from-nintendo-super-mario-recession-for-wii/</link>
		<comments>http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20090129/new-from-nintendo-super-mario-recession-for-wii/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 29 Jan 2009 15:22:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Digital Daily]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[John Paczkowski]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[econalypse]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[budget]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[console]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[consumer spending]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[consumers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[demand]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[earnings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[forecast]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hiroshi Kamide]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Japan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[KBC Financial Products]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nintendo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[operating profit]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[recession]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Satoru Iwata]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[shopping season]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[slowdown]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[video games]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wii]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/?p=12136</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[So the seemingly unfailing demand for Nintendo’s Wii? Failing. Though Wii manufacturer Nintendo posted a 21 percent gain in quarterly operating profit on brisk demand for the videogame console, it slashed its forecast for full-year sales of the device.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2009/01/super-mario.jpg" alt="" title="super-mario" width="200" height="180" class="alignright size-full wp-image-12137" />So <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&#038;sid=aTtkM_ybSHJI">the seemingly unfailing demand for Nintendo&#8217;s Wii?</a> Failing.  </p>
<p>Though Wii manufacturer Nintendo posted <a href="http://uk.reuters.com/article/rbssConsumerGoodsAndRetailNews/idUKT17373020090129">a 21 percent gain in quarterly operating profit</a> on brisk demand for the videogame console, it slashed its forecast for full-year sales of the device (it slashed its full-year profit forecasts as well&#8211;by 33 percent). Nintendo had expected to sell 27.5 million units during its fiscal year, which runs from April until March. Now it expects to sell only 26.5 million. “Wii sales in Japan during the year-end shopping season didn’t meet our forecast,” Nintendo President and CEO Satoru Iwata said during an earnings briefing. “Still, I don’t think demand for the Wii has run out.”</p>
<p>No, of course not. But clearly the Wii isn&#8217;t as recession-proof as was once thought. And, despite its appeal to budget-conscious consumers, Nintendo doesn&#8217;t feel it&#8217;s immune to the general slowdown in consumer spending.  <a href="http://business.timesonline.co.uk/tol/business/markets/japan/article5610164.ece">Said KBC Financial Products analyst Hiroshi Kamide</a>: &#8220;Today’s revision suggests that the roaring pace of Wii growth that we’ve seen until now may be over.&#8221;</p>
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		<title>Insert Motorola "GONR" Joke Here</title>
		<link>http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20081209/insert-motorola-gonr-joke-here/</link>
		<comments>http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20081209/insert-motorola-gonr-joke-here/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 09 Dec 2008 22:29:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Digital Daily]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[John Paczkowski]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[2008]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[2009]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cash burn]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[competitor]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[credit rating]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[demand]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[handset]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[junk]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[LG]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[loss]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Matthew Sheerin]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Motorola]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MultiMedia Intelligence]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[profit]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Razr]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[recovery]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[revenue]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Samsung]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[share]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[slowdown]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Standard & Poor’s]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[supplier]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Thomas Weisel Partners]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/?p=9426</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[If Motorola were a Greek tragedy, we’d be at that point in the narrative where the company is just about to blind itself out of grief--with a pair of RAZRs, of course. Two reports issued today show an already grim scenario for Motorola growing markedly worse.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If Motorola were a Greek tragedy, we&#8217;d be at that point in the narrative where the company is just about to blind itself out of grief&#8211;with a pair of RAZRs, of course. Two reports issued today show <a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20081030/motorolas-latest-quarter-a-real-stnkr/">an already grim scenario for Motorola</a> growing markedly worse. <a href="http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/Motorola-Maintains-US-Mobile-Phone/story.aspx?guid=%7B5A2A52B9-6775-42C5-A5D9-0D532B59F8FD%7D">The first</a>, from MultiMedia Intelligence, shows the company&#8217;s share of the handset market in rapid decline, with Samsung and LG poised to surpass it. The second, from Thomas Weisel Partners, suggests Motorola&#8217;s 2008 and 2009 revenues will come in well below expectations. How far below? Analyst Matthew Sheerin cut his 2009 estimate for the company from a profit of three cents to a loss of 18 cents. </p>
<p>“We believe demand has deteriorated across most of the company’s core end-markets, with a particularly sharp slowdown in handsets, evidenced by a number of key supplier and competitor pre-announcements,” <a href="http://blogs.barrons.com/techtraderdaily/2008/12/09/motorola-so-wheres-the-warning/">Sheerin wrote in a note to clients</a>. &#8220;[The economic downturn] will make a recovery in the core handset business even more challenging and could accelerate cash burn.”</p>
<p>More ugly news for Motorola (MOT), which last week had its <a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20081205/sp-announces-motorola-junkr/">credit rating slashed to Junk</a> by Standard &#038; Poor’s. </p>
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		<title>Cut, Cut, Cutting, Cut</title>
		<link>http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20081204/cut-cut-cutting-cut/</link>
		<comments>http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20081204/cut-cut-cutting-cut/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 04 Dec 2008 18:49:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Digital Daily Live]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[John Paczkowski]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Adobe]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[AT&T]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[capital markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CEO]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[employees]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[forecast]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[handset]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[headcount]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[industry]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[jobs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[landline]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nokia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Olli-Pekka Kallasvuo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Outlook]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[slowdown]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[work force]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/?p=9166</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[[ See post to watch video ]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="video-wsj"><embed src="http://s.wsj.net/media/swf/microPlayer.swf" bgcolor="#FFFFFF" flashVars="videoGUID={3919523001}&playerid=4001&plyMediaEnabled=1&configURL=http://wsj.vo.llnwd.net/o28/players/&autoStart=false" base="http://s.wsj.net/media/swf/" name="microflashPlayer" width="320" height="240" seamlesstabbing="false" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" swLiveConnect="true" pluginspage="http://www.macromedia.com/shockwave/download/index.cgi?P1_Prod_Version=ShockwaveFlash"></embed><br />[ See post to watch video ]</div>
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		<title>Nokia's Incredible Shrinking Handset Market</title>
		<link>http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20081204/nokia/</link>
		<comments>http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20081204/nokia/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 04 Dec 2008 15:15:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Digital Daily]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[John Paczkowski]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mobile]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Capital Markets Day]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cell phone]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[devices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[forecast]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fourth quarter]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[handset]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[industry]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nokia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Olli-Pekka Kallasvuo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[slowdown]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[smartphone]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[volume]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/?p=9136</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Nokia’s Capital Markets Day event is proving quite the downer, and the day’s only just begun. This morning the company cut its global handset market forecast for the second time in three weeks, warning that the slowdown in the industry is worse than expected.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2008/12/drshrinker.jpg" alt="" title="drshrinker" width="200" height="270" class="alignright size-full wp-image-9137" />Nokia&#8217;s Capital Markets Day event is proving quite the downer, and the day&#8217;s only just begun. This morning the company <a href="http://www.nokia.com/A4136001?newsid=1275151">cut its global handset market forecast</a> for the second time in three weeks, warning that the slowdown in the industry is worse than expected. On Nov. 14, Nokia (NOK) lowered its fourth-quarter 2008 outlook to <a href="http://www.nokia.com/A4136002?newsid=1269882">330 million mobile devices shipped</a>. It seems even that was too optimistic. The company now expects device volume for the quarter to fall below 330 million and total device volume for 2008 to slip below 1.24 billion. Worse, Nokia says volume in 2009 will fall by at least five percent from 2008 levels. Said Nokia CEO Olli-Pekka Kallasvuo, &#8220;2009 will be challenging for our industry.&#8221;</p>
<p>Hell of an understatement, given the news. Hope they serve alcohol at that Capital Markets Day event&#8230;.</p>
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		<title>Got Any Networks Without So Much Spam in Them?</title>
		<link>http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20081113/got-any-networks-without-so-much-spam-in-them/</link>
		<comments>http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20081113/got-any-networks-without-so-much-spam-in-them/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 13 Nov 2008 19:00:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Apple]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Google]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[John Paczkowski]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Microsoft]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Silicon Valley]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Yahoo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[52-week low]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Amazon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[botnet]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[broadcast]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CNET]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dell]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[eBay]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[financial crisis]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[ISP]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kevin Kettler]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[kiddie porn]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[McColo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[online advertising]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[shares]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[slowdown]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[tech sector]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/?p=8412</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[[ See post to watch video ]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="video-wsj"><embed src="http://s.wsj.net/media/swf/microPlayer.swf" bgcolor="#FFFFFF" flashVars="videoGUID={2150969001}&playerid=4001&plyMediaEnabled=1&configURL=http://wsj.vo.llnwd.net/o28/players/&autoStart=false" base="http://s.wsj.net/media/swf/" name="microflashPlayer" width="320" height="240" seamlesstabbing="false" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" swLiveConnect="true" pluginspage="http://www.macromedia.com/shockwave/download/index.cgi?P1_Prod_Version=ShockwaveFlash"></embed><br />[ See post to watch video ]</div>
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		<title>August Chip Sales Clearly Quite a Bit Better Than September's Will Be</title>
		<link>http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20081002/real-time-stock-market-collapse-updates-drive-august-chip-sales/</link>
		<comments>http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20081002/real-time-stock-market-collapse-updates-drive-august-chip-sales/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 02 Oct 2008 14:41:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Digital Daily]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[John Paczkowski]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cellphone]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[chip]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[chip industry]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[consumer demand]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[consumer products]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[credit]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[customers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[electronic goods]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[entertainment electronics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[financial rescue package]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[George Scalise]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[global]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[handset]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[personal computer]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[semiconductor]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Semiconductor Industry Association]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SIA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[slowdown]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[suppliers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[supply chain]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[U. S. economy]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[U.S. economy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/?p=6095</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The slow gutting of the U.S. economy hasn’t had as much of an impact on global semiconductor sales; they rose 5.5 percent in August from a year ago bolstered by strong demand for personal computers and handsets. Odd, since you’d assume that slowdown in the U.S. economy would reduce demand for electronics goods and, by extension, the chips on which they run.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The slow gutting of the U.S. economy <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/rbssTechMediaTelecomNews/idUSBNG21150920081002">hasn’t had as much of an impact on global semiconductor sales</a>; <a href="http://www.sia-online.org/cs/papers_publications/press_release_detail?pressrelease.id=1500">they rose 5.5 percent in August from a year ago</a>, bolstered by strong demand for personal computers and handsets. Odd, since you&#8217;d assume that slowdown in the U.S. economy would reduce demand for electronics goods and, by extension, the chips on which they run. </p>
<p>And, of course, it will sooner or later. Certainly, the Semiconductor Industry Association, which provided the sales numbers above, thinks so. Earlier this week, it called on the U.S. House of Representatives to pass the $700 billion financial rescue package before it. “Consumer demand accounts for more than two-thirds of the U.S. economy,” <a href="http://www.sia-online.org/cs/papers_publications/press_release_detail?pressrelease.id=1499">said SIA president George Scalise</a>. “A slowdown in sales of a broad range of consumer products such as personal computers, cellphones, and entertainment electronics would have an adverse impact on semiconductor sales in the fourth quarter, which is normally the strongest quarter for the chip industry. The entire supply chain, including our suppliers and customers, will be harmed if access to credit becomes difficult.&#8221;</p>
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		<title>Hot for SanDisk</title>
		<link>http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20080917/hot-for-sandisk/</link>
		<comments>http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20080917/hot-for-sandisk/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 17 Sep 2008 18:00:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
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		<title>Street Unimpressed by Dell Depressiron</title>
		<link>http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20080916/street-unimpressed-by-dell-depressiron/</link>
		<comments>http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20080916/street-unimpressed-by-dell-depressiron/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 16 Sep 2008 22:00:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Digital Daily]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/?p=5090</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[If Dell sees “further softening” in global demand for its products it’s going to need stilts to keep from sagging below water level. Shares in the company fell to their lowest point in seven years Tuesday after Dell warned of a slowdown in investment technology spending in the U.S. and abroad.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2008/09/dell_depressiron.jpg" alt="" title="dell_depressiron" width="200" height="210" style="border: 1px solid #000;" class="alignright size-full wp-image-5091" />If Dell sees &#8220;further softening&#8221; in global demand for its products, it&#8217;s going to need plastic surgery. Shares in the company <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601103&amp;sid=aIamf2ks__E4&amp;refer=us">fell to their lowest point in seven years</a> Tuesday after <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122156560342042887.html">Dell warned of  a slowdown in investment technology spending</a> in the U.S. and abroad.</p>
<p>&#8220;When Dell announced Q2 financial results on Aug. 28, 2008, it reported continued conservatism in IT spending in the U.S., which had extended into Western Europe and several countries in Asia,&#8221; <a href="http://www.dell.com/content/topics/global.aspx/corp/pressoffice/en/2008/2008_09_16_rr_000?c=us&amp;l=en&amp;s=corp">the company said in a statement</a>. &#8220;The company is seeing further softening in global end-user demand in the current quarter.&#8221;</p>
<p>Translation: If you thought Q2 was lousy, wait until you see our Q3.</p>
<p>Coming as it does after a second quarter in which Dell (DELL) reported a 17 percent drop in earnings and <a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20080905/course-you-could-just-shut-the-company-down-and-give-the-money-back-to-the-shareholders/">announced plans to sell off its factories</a>, the warning doesn&#8217;t bode at all well for the company&#8217;s next round of financials. Said Bill Kreher, a securities analyst with Edward Jones, &#8220;The company&#8217;s inconsistent performance and lack of confidence means there&#8217;s a lot of uncertainty in the turnaround.&#8221;</p>
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