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	<title>Digital Daily &#187; liquidity</title>
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	<link>http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com</link>
	<description>by John Paczkowski</description>
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		  <title>All Things Digital</title>
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		<title>Irrational Exuberance?</title>
		<link>http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20090408/irrational-exuberance/</link>
		<comments>http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20090408/irrational-exuberance/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 08 Apr 2009 16:43:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Digital Daily]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[John Paczkowski]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[econalypse]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[innovation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[capital industry]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[entrepreneur]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[financial system]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[growth]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[high growth]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Institutional Venture Partners]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[investment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[IPO]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[liquidity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mark Cannice]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Michael Moritz]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mike Moritz]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[optimism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[quarters]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[recovery]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[San Francisco Bay Area]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sandy Miller]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sequoia Capital]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Silicon Valley Venture Captalist Confidence Index]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[valuations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[VC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[venture capital]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/?p=16272</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[They say “flat is the new up” and that certainly seems to be the case with the venture capital industry. Though we’ve had two consecutive quarters without an IPO and the venture market is all but frozen, VC optimism is beginning to return. The latest Silicon Valley Venture Capitalist Confidence Index shows a small but noteworthy uptick in the VC community’s views of the entrepreneurial environment in the San Francisco Bay Area.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2009/04/yourmomisnotatestmarketjpg.jpeg" alt="yourmomisnotatestmarketjpg" title="yourmomisnotatestmarketjpg" width="156" height="177" class="alignright size-full wp-image-16273" />They say &#8220;flat is the new up&#8221; and that certainly seems to be the case with the venture capital industry. Because though we&#8217;ve had <a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20090401/ipo-market-just-really-really-lousy/">two consecutive quarters without an IPO</a> and the venture market is all but frozen, VC optimism is beginning to return. The latest <a href="http://www.usfca.edu/sobam/nvc/pub/pdf/US_VC_Index_2009_Q1.pdf">Silicon Valley Venture Capitalist Confidence Index</a> shows <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601103&amp;sid=ahy1k4391c3M&amp;refer=us">a small but noteworthy uptick</a> in the VC community&#8217;s views of the entrepreneurial environment in the San Francisco Bay Area. On a five-point scale, with five indicating that giddy all-trees-grow-to-heaven worldview for which VCs are known, the industry&#8217;s sentiment for the first quarter was 3.03 (click chart to enlarge).</p>
<p><a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2009/04/svvcci_2009q1.gif" rel="lightbox"><img src="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2009/04/svvcci_2009q1-250x173.gif" alt="svvcci_2009q1" title="svvcci_2009q1" width="250" height="173" class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-16271" /></a></p>
<p>That&#8217;s not great, but it&#8217;s a marked improvement from the 2.77 the Index registered in the fourth quarter&#8211;<a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20081218/would-you-like-your-calls-forwarded-to-the-under-the-desk-line-mr-moritz/">its lowest point in five years</a>. Why the sudden change? “While concern over the state of the national and global economy and financial system remains, a sense of foreboding appears to be giving way to an expectation of eventual, if slow, recovery in the high-growth venture environment,”  Mark Cannice, the author of the survey explains. &#8220;This mustard seed of hope appears to be taking sprout among a majority of the venture capitalist respondents who provided their insight to the March 2009 survey. And it is nurtured by venture capitalists’ faith in the resilience of entrepreneurs to build efficient enterprises with disruptive solutions, more modest expectations for growth and valuations, and the early stages of a stabilization in the financial system.&#8221;</p>
<p>In short, no reason at all. The economy is still deteriorating, perhaps less quickly than it has been, but deteriorating nonetheless. And venture investment is still declining. But there&#8217;s a sense that things are going to get better. And they surely will. Certainly, it&#8217;s not too difficult to do better than no IPOs two quarters running. And, as Sandy Miller of Institutional Venture Partners reasons, an economic environment like the one we&#8217;re in often gives rise to disruptive new technologies.   “While the environment seems gloomy with no end in sight we need to remember that some of the best companies have been founded and built during bleak times,&#8221; he said. True entrepreneurs will continue to find ways of moving their ideas forward. From a venture investor standpoint 2009 and 2010 should be an attractive environment for new investments though there will be little liquidity for existing investments.”  </p>
<p>As Sequoia Capital partner Michael Moritz often notes, the best time to invest is often “when people are cowering under their desks.”</p>
<p>[<em>Image Credit: <a href="http://www.vcwear.com/">VC Wear</a></em>]</p>
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		<title>Chapter 10, in Which Nortel Mulls Chapter 11</title>
		<link>http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20081210/chapter-10-in-which-nortel-mulls-chapter-11/</link>
		<comments>http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20081210/chapter-10-in-which-nortel-mulls-chapter-11/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 10 Dec 2008 10:48:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Digital Daily]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[John Paczkowski]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[telecom]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[accounting scandal]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bankruptcy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[capital markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chapter 11]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[company]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[confidence]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[counsel]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[downturn]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[filing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[industry]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[investor]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[liquidity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[macro environment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mark Sue]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nortel]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[RBC Capital Markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wall Street Journal]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/?p=9436</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A few weeks back, RBC Capital Markets analyst Mark Sue warned that Nortel is facing a very bleak future. “Considering the worsening macro environment, Nortel’s challenged industry position, and concerns related to liquidity while the capital markets are basically closed, we think bankruptcy is a distinct possibility down the road,” Sue wrote in a note to investors. Looks like Sue was right, and the road to which he referred was a short one.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2008/12/nt.jpg" alt="" title="nt" width="200" height="204" class="alignright size-full wp-image-9435" />A few weeks back, RBC Capital Markets analyst Mark Sue warned that Nortel (NT) is facing a very bleak future. “Considering the worsening macro environment, Nortel’s challenged industry position, and concerns related to liquidity while the capital markets are basically closed, we think bankruptcy is a distinct possibility down the road,”<a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20081113/analyst-nortel-bankruptcy-rate-may-soar/"> Sue wrote in a note to investors</a>. </p>
<p>Looks like Sue was right, and the road to which he referred was a short one. The struggling telecom company has <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122887999493593997.html">hired counsel to explore a bankruptcy filing</a>, The Wall Street Journal reports. Nortel, well aware what such reports can do to investor confidence, insists that no such filing is imminent. The company does, however, acknowledge that it has engaged advisers to help it weather the current economic storm. Just who has Nortel hired? Word on the street says Lazard Ltd. and law firm Cleary Gottlieb Steen &#038; Hamilton. </p>
<p>Grim news for Nortel, which has spent the past several years trying to recover from the general downturn in the telecom industry and a nasty accounting scandal. With <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122896188192096993.html">apparently very little success</a>.</p>
<p>In a statement Wednesday, the company said, &#8220;Nortel is hard at work reshaping the business to even better serve our customers. There are those who fuel negative speculation, but there are many more who believe that Nortel has put in place the necessary plans to strengthen our financial footing and reset our cost base.&#8221;</p>
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		<title>Analyst: Nortel Bankruptcy Rate May Soar</title>
		<link>http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20081113/analyst-nortel-bankruptcy-rate-may-soar/</link>
		<comments>http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20081113/analyst-nortel-bankruptcy-rate-may-soar/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 13 Nov 2008 23:34:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Digital Daily]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[John Paczkowski]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[telecom]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[asset sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bankruptcy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[capital markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[investor]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[layoffs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[liquidity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mark Sue]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nortel]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[price target]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[RBC Capital Markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[restructuring]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/?p=8434</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[“Bankruptcy” and “distinct possibility.” Not the sorts of words a company hopes to see in its press coverage, but precisely the ones Nortel has been confronted with today. Describing the telecom equipment manufacturer as “overwhelmed with debt and burning cash,” RBC Capital Markets analyst Mark Sue cut his price target on Nortel to $0 from $1.50 and warned that the company is facing a very bleak future]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;Bankruptcy&#8221; and &#8220;distinct possibility.&#8221; Not the sorts of words a company hopes to see in its press coverage, but <a href="http://network.nationalpost.com/np/blogs/tradingdesk/archive/2008/11/13/nortel-may-face-bankruptcy-price-target-cut-to-zero.aspx">precisely the ones Nortel has been confronted with today</a>. Describing the telecom equipment manufacturer as &#8220;overwhelmed with debt and burning cash,&#8221; RBC Capital Markets analyst Mark Sue cut his price target on Nortel to $0 from $1.50 and warned that the company is facing a very bleak future.</p>
<p>“Considering the worsening macro environment, Nortel’s challenged industry position, and concerns related to liquidity while the capital markets are basically closed, we think bankruptcy is a distinct possibility down the road,” <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/rbssTechMediaTelecomNews/idUSN1336152520081113">Sue wrote in a note to investors</a>. &#8220;The world moved on while Nortel was stuck in restructuring mode, and the lack of financial flexibility means Nortel has to rely on asset sales to fund future operations.&#8221;</p>
<p>More ugly news for Nortel (NT), which<a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20081110/nortel/"> just announced layoffs</a> and seems to be slipping closer and closer to the abyss each day.</p>
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		<title>Circuit City Reschedules Black Friday for This Wednesday</title>
		<link>http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20081103/circuit-city-reschedules-black-friday-for-this-wednesday/</link>
		<comments>http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20081103/circuit-city-reschedules-black-friday-for-this-wednesday/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 03 Nov 2008 18:26:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Digital Daily]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[John Paczkowski]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[capital]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Christmas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Circuit City]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[closing sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[consumer spending]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[electronics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[holidays]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[James A. Marcum]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[liquidity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[loss]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[macroeconomic]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[retailer]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[share price]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[shopping season]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[stores]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[vendor]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[work force]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/?p=7693</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Black Friday, the beginning of the traditional Christmas shopping season, will kick off far earlier than usual this year, thanks to Circuit City. In the aftermath of a particularly nasty second-quarter loss and a 95 percent decline in share price, the long-suffering electronics retailer said today it is shuttering 155 of its stores across 12 U.S. markets and sacking 17 percent of its domestic workforce.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2008/11/circuitcitydumpsters.jpg" alt="" title="circuitcitydumpsters" width="277" height="259" class="alignright size-full wp-image-7694" />Black Friday, the beginning of the traditional Christmas shopping season, will kick off far earlier than usual this year, thanks to Circuit City (CC).  In the aftermath of a particularly nasty second-quarter loss and a 95 percent decline in share price, the long-suffering electronics retailer said today it is <a href="http://files.shareholder.com/downloads/CC/455464369x0x245809/2BFAC9D9-6CEF-4027-9E51-1C635F42F7A7/110308%20Store%20Closing%20List.pdf">shuttering 155 of its stores across 12 U.S. markets</a> and <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122571940741192633.html">sacking 17 percent of its domestic workforce</a>. At last count, Circuit City employed some 43,000 people. So the cuts could send some 7,300 workers to the unemployment office just in time for the holidays. </p>
<p>Awful, ugly news.  That said, there is a silk purse to be made from this particular sow&#8217;s ear. Store closing sales begin on Wednesday, so this is an auspicious time for the employed to get a jump on the annual holiday consumer binge. Those who aren&#8217;t put off by this near-funereal assessment of the economy from Circuit City&#8217;s acting chief executive James A. Marcum.</p>
<p>&#8220;Since late September, unprecedented events have occurred in the financial and consumer markets causing macroeconomic trends to worsen sharply,&#8221; said Marcum. &#8220;The weakened environment has resulted in a slowdown of consumer spending, further impacting our business as well as the business of our vendors. The combination of these trends has strained severely our working capital and liquidity, and so we are making a number of difficult, but necessary, decisions to address the company&#8217;s financial situation as quickly as possible.&#8221;</p>
<p>Happy holidays, huh?</p>
<p>Circuit City shares are currently trading at around 38 cents.</p>
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		<title>Damn You, SkyMall!</title>
		<link>http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20080220/sharperimage/</link>
		<comments>http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20080220/sharperimage/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 20 Feb 2008 20:07:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Digital Daily]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[John Paczkowski]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bankruptcy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[lawsuit]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[liquidity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sharper Image]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SkyMall]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Well, the champagne bottles must be popping over at SkyMall today. The gadget vendor&#8217;s rival, The Sharper Image (SHRP), filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection late yesterday and announced plans to shutter 90 of its 184 stores as soon as it&#8217;s able to sell off their inventories.
Seems increased competition and diminishing margins&#8211;not to mention that [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Well, the champagne bottles must be popping over at SkyMall today. The gadget vendor&#8217;s rival, The Sharper Image (SHRP), <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601103&amp;sid=aHR7.jO1NnUE&amp;refer=us">filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection</a> late yesterday and announced plans to shutter 90 of its 184 stores as soon as it&#8217;s able to sell off their inventories.</p>
<p>Seems increased competition and diminishing margins&#8211;not to mention that <a href="http://www.consumerreports.org/cro/appliances/heating-cooling-and-air/air-cleaners/sharper-image-air-purifier-class-action-update-1-08/overview/0108_sharper-image-air-purifier-class-action-update.htm?resultPageIndex=1&amp;resultIndex=1&amp;searchTerm=sharper%20image">infamous air purifier class-action suit</a>&#8211;have taken their toll on the company. Its sales fell 26% during its last fiscal year, which ended Jan. 31. And it&#8217;s amassed $199 million in debt. With just $251.5 million in assets, the company (which just last week <a href="http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5hXhGljKx6mId601uWKLVizRjaRNAD8UQB7981">replaced its CEO with a crisis-management expert</a>) is in dire straits. Said CFO Rebecca Roedell, &#8220;Sharper Image is in a severe liquidity crisis.&#8221;</p>
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