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	<title>Digital Daily &#187; bubble</title>
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	<link>http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com</link>
	<description>by John Paczkowski</description>
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		<title>Spare Change for Amazon Shares?</title>
		<link>http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20091023/spare-change-for-amzn/</link>
		<comments>http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20091023/spare-change-for-amzn/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 23 Oct 2009 21:59:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Digital Daily]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Internet]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[digital]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[econalypse]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[financial]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Amazon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[AMZN]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[analysts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bubble]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Citigroup]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[competition]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[dot com]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[holiday shopping]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[income tax]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kindle]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[liabilities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mark Mahaney]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nasdaq]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[offline]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[sales tax]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[shares]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[stock]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[third quarter]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wal-Mart]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Zappos]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/?p=27406</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[$118.49. That’s the price at which Amazon shares closed Friday, a day after the company reported a 69 percent jump in third-quarter profit and a 28 percent gain in revenue. It was a new 52-week high and the stock’s best since December 1999, when it hit $106.68. Which is saying something. Because as you might recall, in 1999, Nasdaq was soaring on the back of the dot-com bubble to levels never before seen.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2009/10/amzn.jpg" alt="amzn" title="amzn" width="350" height="238" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-27407" />$118.49. That’s the price at which Amazon shares closed Friday, a day after <a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20091022/amz/">the company reported a 69 percent jump in third-quarter profit and a 28 percent gain in revenue</a>. It was a new 52-week high and the stock’s best since December 1999, when it hit $106.68.</p>
<p>Which is saying something. Because as you might recall, in 1999, Nasdaq was soaring on the back of the dot-com bubble to levels never before seen.</p>
<p>And here we are amid the worst recession since the 1930s. Haven’t even entered that &#8220;all important holiday shopping season&#8221; yet, either. </p>
<p>Things are looking pretty good for Amazon (AMZN) right now. Sure, there’s renewed competition from retailers like Wal-Mart (WMT). There are potential <a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20080502/amazon-tax/">sales tax issues</a> and <a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20090706/amazon-japan-tax/">income tax liabilities</a> and <a href="http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20091018/plastic-logic-shows-off-a-quick-look-at-its-kindle-killer-meet-the-que/">a raft</a> of <a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20090311/apple-netbook-actually-an-e-book/">Kindle-killers</a> headed to market. But Amazon’s stock is up 131 percent this year, brokerage firms are upgrading their ratings on the company, and analysts are saying it’s only going to go higher. </p>
<p>Said Citigroup analyst Mark Mahaney: &#8220;Near-term outlook very positive as AMZN heads into holiday season fully armed against shrinking/de-stocking offline retailers, with one of the must-have gadgets of the season (Kindle), a significantly strengthening International presence, and soon-to-be closed Zappos acquisition.&#8221;</p>
<p>Yeah. Things are looking pretty good right now.  But we said that back in &#8216;99 too&#8211;when Amazon had a similar P/E.</p>
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		<title>Weekend Update, 10/10/08</title>
		<link>http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20081011/weekend-update-101008/</link>
		<comments>http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20081011/weekend-update-101008/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 11 Oct 2008 07:00:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Digital Daily]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Google]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[John Paczkowski]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Microsoft]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Yahoo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Advanced Micro Devices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[AOL]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[companies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[divestiture]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Eric Jackson]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[hedge fund]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[investor]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[manufacturing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[market cap]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Michael Moritz]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[panic selling]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[RealDVD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[RealNetworks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ripper]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sequoia Capital]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[temporary restraining order]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Wall Street]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Yahoo! Plan B]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/?p=6600</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The best thing that can be said of the week ending Oct. 10, 2008, is this: It’s over.

Marked by panic selling and wet-your-pants fear, it was one of the worst weeks in the financial world’s history--a week that cut the legs out from under Google, beat Yahoo until its market cap bled purple and caused the Dow Jones Industrial Average to swing more than one thousand points on an intra-day basis.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2008/10/belushi-curtain.jpg" alt="" title="belushi-curtain" width="200" height="127" style="border: 1px solid #000;" class="alignright size-full wp-image-6601" />The best thing that can be said of the week ending Oct. 10, 2008, is this: It&#8217;s over. </p>
<p>Marked by <a href="http://kara.allthingsd.com/20081006/tech-stocks-off-the-deep-end-but-ignore-the-panic/">panic selling and wet-your-pants fear</a>, it was one of the worst weeks in the financial world&#8217;s history&#8211;a week that <a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20081007/googles-new-corporate-philosophy-you-can-lose-money-without-doing-evil/">cut the legs out from under Google</a> (GOOG), <a href="http://kara.allthingsd.com/20081009/when-will-yahoo-shares-hit-bottom-look-out-below/">beat Yahoo until its market cap bled purple</a> and caused the Dow Jones Industrial Average to swing more than one thousand points on an intra-day basis.</p>
<p>It was a week that saw <a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20081009/pop/">Sequoia Capital warn its portfolio companies to prepare for a protracted downturn</a> or, in the words of partner Michael Moritz, be &#8220;spattered on windshields and radiator grills and be forgotten.&#8221; Turns out <a href="http://kara.allthingsd.com/20081009/irony-alert-bubble-making-venture-capitalists-start-popping-them/">Bubble 2.0 sounds a lot like Bubble 1.0 when it pops</a>.</p>
<p>Beneath the screams of agony echoing across Wall Street, there was other news worth noting: </p>
<ul>
<li>Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) <a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20081007/absolutely-fabless/">announced plans to spin off its manufacturing operations</a>.   </li>
<li>&#8220;Legal&#8221; turned out to be a poor choice of adjectives for RealNetworks’ RealDVD (RNWK), the company’s new “legal” DVD ripper. A judge <a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20081008/realdvd-launch-buffering-buffering/">extended the temporary restraining order</a> barring the company from distributing it.</li>
<li>This just in: Time Warner’s (TWX) AOL and Yahoo (YHOO) are still <a href="http://kara.allthingsd.com/20081007/will-yahoo-and-aol-ever-stop-talking-and-make-a-deal-in-related-news-generalissimo-francisco-franco-is-still-dead/">talking about a merger</a> and Generalissimo Francisco Franco is still dead.<br />
Where is Microsoft (MSFT) in all this? <a href="http://kara.allthingsd.com/20081008/why-microsoft-will-sit-out-the-yahoo-aol-dance-and-bide-its-time-to-capture-search/">Sitting on the sidelines</a> hoping the deal will go through.</li>
<li>Finally, activist investor Eric Jackson, the creator of the Yahoo! Plan B investor community, revealed Yahoo! Plan C: <a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20081010/yahoo-activist-i-sold-my-yhoo-stake/">his hedge fund&#8217;s divestiture of its Yahoo stake</a>.</li>
</ul>
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		<title>Take a Bath With Mr. Tech Bubble</title>
		<link>http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20081009/take-a-bath-with-mr-tech-bubble/</link>
		<comments>http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20081009/take-a-bath-with-mr-tech-bubble/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 09 Oct 2008 18:00:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Apple]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Digital Daily Live]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[John Paczkowski]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Adam Smith]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bubble]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[business activity]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Cupertino]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[gross profit]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[IBM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[International Monetary Fund]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[net income]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[notebooks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Peter Oppenheimer]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[product transition]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[SAP]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[start-up]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/?p=6514</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[[ See post to watch video ]]]></description>
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		<title>Pop.</title>
		<link>http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20081009/pop/</link>
		<comments>http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20081009/pop/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 09 Oct 2008 07:00:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[John Paczkowski]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bubble]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[crash]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Michael Moritz]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sequoia Capital]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[VC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[venture capital]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/?p=6453</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[With Adam Smith’s oft-lauded “invisible hand” giving investors the invisible finger and the world economy reeling from what the International Monetary Fund just labeled the most dangerous shock to the financial markets since the 1930s, the healthy optimism and patient money for which the venture capital world has long been known are fast turning into a querulous hopelessness. To wit, the emergency gathering held at Sequoia Capital this week.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/files/2008/10/bubblerevenge.jpg" alt="" title="bubblerevenge" width="200" height="223" class="alignright size-full wp-image-6454" />With Adam Smith’s oft-lauded “invisible hand” giving investors <a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20080919/weekend-at-bernankes/">the invisible finger</a> and the world economy reeling from what the International Monetary Fund just labeled <a href="http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/hr/content_display/news/e3i7e19cce243eb21aa6f421be58b5dcbf1">the most dangerous shock to the financial markets since the 1930s</a>, the healthy optimism and patient money for which the venture capital world has long been known are fast turning into a querulous hopelessness. To wit, <a href="http://gigaom.com/2008/10/08/sequoia-rings-the-alarm-bell-silicon-valley-in-trouble/">the emergency gathering held at Sequoia Capital this week</a>. It&#8217;s purpose: to prepare the firm&#8217;s portfolio companies for a protracted downturn.</p>
<p>There is no good news right now, it seems. The bubble is burst.</p>
<p>&#8220;It&#8217;s pretty clear that demand is going to soften across the board for every company&#8211;it doesn&#8217;t matter if you&#8217;re selling to consumers or companies,&#8221; <a href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/8bea86f6-933f-11dd-98b5-0000779fd18c.html">Sequoia Capital partner Michael Moritz told the Financial Times earlier this week</a>. &#8220;[Many start-ups that emerged in the recent boom will end up] spattered on windshields and radiator grills and be forgotten.&#8221;</p>
<p>[<i>Image Credit: <a href="http://www.ravelinks.com/flyers/2006/northeast/mrbubblesrevenge.htm">Audiophile &#038; Synergy Industries</a></i>]</p>
<p><strong>PREVIOUSLY:</strong><br />
<UL></p>
<li><a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20081007/googles-new-corporate-philosophy-you-can-lose-money-without-doing-evil/">Google’s New Corporate Philosophy: “You Can Lose Money Without Doing Evil”</a></li>
<li><a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20081006/looks-like-somebodys-got-a-case-of-the-mondays/">Wall Street: Way Down in the Hole</a></li>
<li><a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20081003/analyst-the-great-dark-times-cometh/">Analyst: The Great Dark Times Cometh!</a></li>
<li><a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20080930/crawling-from-the-wreckage/">Wall Street: Give Me Something to Stop the Bleeding</a></li>
<li><a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20080929/google-meet-your-new-52-week-low/">GOOG at $398? Clearly, You’re Dyslexic</a></li>
<li><a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20080926/epic-bail/">WaMu: Epic Bail</a></li>
<li><a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20080925/ballmer-better-safe-than-lehman-bros/">Ballmer: Better Safe Than Lehman Bros.</a></li>
<li><a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20080923/heck-of-a-job-lehman-brothers/">Lehman Brothers: $2.5 Billion for a Bankruptcy Well Done</a></li>
<li><a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20080923/heres-39-billion-in-recognition-for-your-hard-work-on-the-forthcoming-financial-crisis/">Here&#8217;s $39 Billion in Recognition for Your Hard Work on the Forthcoming Financial Crisis</a></li>
<li><a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20080922/weekend-at-bernanke’s-ii/">Weekend at Bernanke’s II</a></li>
<li><a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20080919/weekend-at-bernankes/">Weekend at Bernankes</a></li>
</ul>
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		<title>Web 3.0: The Salesforce.com Web</title>
		<link>http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20080508/quoted-106/</link>
		<comments>http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20080508/quoted-106/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 08 May 2008 07:00:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Paczkowski</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Digital Daily]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Facebook]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[John Paczkowski]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[software]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Al Franken]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[cloud computing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Marc Benioff]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[platform]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Salesforce.com]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tim Berners-Lee]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Web 2.0]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Web 3.0]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[widgets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[World Wide Web]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20080508/quoted-106/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[If the defining characteristics of Web 2.0 are &#8220;groundbreaking&#8221; Facebook widgets, easy access to dumb capital and haughty start-ups dangerously over-leveraged on other companies&#8217; assets what (or who) will define the Web 3.0 epoch?  
The answer&#8217;s obvious isn&#8217;t it? Salesforce.com CEO Marc Benioff. 
Why? Because he says so, that&#8217;s why.
Speaking at the company&#8217;s DreamForce [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If the defining characteristics of Web 2.0 are &#8220;groundbreaking&#8221; Facebook widgets, easy access to dumb capital and <a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20071004/irrational-zuckeruberance/">haughty start-ups dangerously over-leveraged on other companies&#8217; assets</a> what (or who) will define the Web 3.0 epoch?  </p>
<p>The answer&#8217;s obvious isn&#8217;t it? Salesforce.com CEO Marc Benioff. </p>
<p>Why? Because he says so, that&#8217;s why.</p>
<p>Speaking at the company&#8217;s DreamForce Europe event, Benioff said that Web 3.0 will be the Platform-as-a-Service (PaaS) era. A fascinating definition&#8211;convenient too, since this is precisely the sort of business Salesforce.com (CRM) is in. “We think Web 3.0 is now upon us. It’s the era of platforms,” <a href="http://blogs.zdnet.com/SAAS/?p=514">said Benioff</a>. “New platforms are coming right out of the cloud. It’s time to make a choice. You can continue to build your applications in the software model or you can move your applications to the new model of cloud computing. There is a new way to build your applications.”</p>
<p>So Web 3.0 is not, as Tim Berners-Lee, inventor of the World Wide Web, once suggested, <a href="http://www.iht.com/articles/2006/05/23/business/web.php">the semantic Web</a>&#8211;&#8221;day-to-day mechanisms of trade, bureaucracy and our daily lives handled by machines talking to machines.&#8221; Rather, <a href="http://digitaldaily.allthingsd.com/20071004/web30/">it&#8217;s Web 2.0 with another 1.0’s worth of marketing BS</a>. The &#8220;Whatever-I-Say-It-Is Web&#8221;&#8211;the &#8220;<a href="http://snltranscripts.jt.org/79/79fupdate.phtml">Al Franken Decade</a>&#8221; of the Internet age.</p>
<blockquote><p>
Well, the &#8220;me&#8221; decade is almost over, and good riddance, and far as I&#8217;m concerned. &#8230; That&#8217;s right. I believe we&#8217;re entering what I like to call the Al Franken Decade. Oh, for me, Al Franken, the &rsquo;80s will be pretty much the same as the &rsquo;70s. I&#8217;ll still be thinking of me, Al Franken. But for you, you&#8217;ll be thinking more about how things affect me, Al Franken. When you see a news report, you&#8217;ll be thinking, &#8216;I wonder what Al Franken thinks about this thing?&#8217;, &#8216;I wonder how this inflation thing is hurting Al Franken?&#8217; And you women will be thinking, &#8216;What can I wear that will please Al Franken?&#8217;, or &#8216;What can I not wear?&#8217; You know, I know a lot of you out there are thinking, &#8216;Why Al Franken?&#8217; Well, because I thought of it, and I&#8217;m on TV, so I&#8217;ve already gotten the jump on you.&#8221;
</p></blockquote>
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