All Things Digital

“What has become of the Sony known for its technology,” Japanese Economy, Trade and Industry Minister and former Sony employee Akira Amari asked in October of 2006. “I hope it will solve its problems soon to quickly recover its brand image reputed for technological prowess.”

If Amari can recall when that was Sony’s image, he has a good memory. Because Sony (SNE) lost its dominant position in consumer electronics to rivals in Japan, South Korea and the U.S. long ago and has yet to regain it.

But it will soon, according to company CEO Howard Stringer, who announced today a new growth strategy designed to re-establish its global supremacy. Stringer’s plan: to peddle software and video-downloading services, not just hardware. And to bind them together over the Internet. “Our mission is simply to be the leading global provider of networked consumer electronics and entertainment,” Stringer said at a news conference.

To that end, Sony will soon announce a movie download service for its PlayStation 3 game console. And this fall it will begin broadcasting films and television shows directly to its Bravia TVs via the Internet. And if all goes according to plan, 90% of Sony’s devices will wirelessly connect to the Net by March 2011. Perhaps even Rolly, Sony’s dancing iPod killer …

Said Stringer, “This is not your father’s Sony.“

Hope not. Because my father’s Sony is Apple (AAPL).

Grand Theft Auto IV, the latest installment of Rockstar Games’ (TTWO) controversial Grand Theft Auto series, arrived at market today amid a suppressive fire of Entertainment Software Rating Board warnings. “Blood,” “intense violence,” “partial nudity,” “strong language,” “strong sexual content, “use of drugs and alcohol”–it’s all there, along with simulated drunk driving and in-game prostitution, for which the ESRB apparently doesn’t yet have specific designations.

And while the anti-GTA zealots who blame the game for inspiring real-world violence are decrying it, the press is heaping it with praise (of 31 reviews listed on Metacritic.com, 24 are perfect scores). The New York Times calls it “a violent, intelligent, profane, endearing, obnoxious, sly, richly textured and thoroughly compelling work of cultural satire disguised as fun.” Noting that innocent bystanders in the game now groan in agony when murdered, Slate’s reviewer explains, “what makes Grand Theft Auto IV so compelling is that, unlike so many video games, it made me reflect on all of the disturbing things I had done.” MSNBC says simply: “Grand Theft Auto IV will blow you away.”

Which is likely what it’s going to do to sales estimates as well. GTA IV was inevitably going to be one of the biggest games, if not media events, of the year–one that Hollywood executives worry might depress movie ticket sales as GTA fans drop everything to play the game. And though that might sound like so much PlayStation 3 promoting exuberance, it may not be that far off. With $400 million expected in first-week sales, GTA IV’s debut could be the most lucrative launch in entertainment history.

The controversy over Facebook’s Beacon advertising system may have been laid to rest last December, but its memory lingers on.

Today brings news of the first lawsuit over the service and, oddly enough, it wasn’t filed against Facebook. It was filed against Blockbuster. Facebook member Cathryn Elaine Harris is suing the video chain Blockbuster (BBI) for its participation in the Beacon program. Her complaint alleges that Blockbuster violated the federal Videotape Privacy Protection Act when it shared information about her movie rentals and sales with Facebook without her consent. It seeks class action status and $2,500 for each violation of the 1988 statute.

Wow. Blockbuster is completely out of ideas, isn’t it? This morning the foundering movie rental chain went public with its bid to acquire ailing retail consumer-electronics chain Circuit City.

In a Feb. 17 letter to Circuit City CEO Philip Schoonover, Blockbuster (BBI) offered to pay more than $1 billion for the chain. But, to date, Circuit City (CC) hasn’t fulfilled a request for due diligence necessary to make the bid definitive.

Why? In a conference call today, Blockbuster chief exec Jim Keyes described the offer as “simply too attractive to ignore.” But it seems Circuit City also thinks the offer might be too attractive for Blockbuster to finance. “… To date Blockbuster has been unable to satisfy Circuit City and its advisers that Blockbuster’s proposal could be financed,” the electronics retailer said in a statement. “In particular, Blockbuster’s proposal appears to contemplate a rights offering of unprecedented size relative to the issuing company’s market capitalization and at a price that is at a significant premium to Blockbuster’s current market price.”

Well, yes, there is that. And, of course, there are other issues as well. Like what, exactly, are the synergies between a foundering movie rental chain and a foundering electronics retailer–aside from the fact that they’re both, you know, foundering? If it’s Blockbuster rental kiosks in Circuit City stores, the alliance would seem doomed to failure. Wait. It is Blockbuster rental kiosks in Circuit City stores?

To be fair, Keyes says digital content is important too, and he seems convinced that Circuit City will provide Blockbuster with the infrastructure it needs to distribute video to TVs and mobile devices. “What this combination provides is the ultimate distribution channel for [digital] content,” he said this morning. “It’s not necessarily downloading content to the PC that will ultimately capture the consumer’s imagination. It’s the opportunity to get that content on your TV and your mobile device that is a game-changing opportunity.”

A game-changing opportunity for Apple (AAPL), maybe. But for a foundering, outdated video-rental outfit?

Hollywood has finally begun sniffing at the long tail.

Paramount Pictures (VIA) and application developer FanRocket this week debuted a new service for Facebook users that will enable them to send each other movie clips. A combination media player and clip library, the service called VooZoo aims to exploit the Hey-Remember-That-Funny-Scene-From-”Nacho Libre” phenomenon by providing users with access to clips from such movies and an easy means of bombarding their friends with them.

The studio will plug the DVD version of the movies after each clip is played in the hopes of driving further sales. An interesting strategy, but one analysts seem to have met with a raised eyebrow. “It’s one thing to go to a friend’s profile page and they have a clip of Eddie Murphy driving the Ferrari and go, ‘Oh, yeah, that was hysterical,’ ” said John Barrett, research director at Parks Associates. “It’s quite something else to say, ‘Hey, that was such a great scene I’m going to spend the next two hours right here in front of my PC.’ It would be some kind of clip that would make someone do that.”

With the Apple TV Take Two, we think we have it right this time. I think we have a great product.”

–Apple Chief Operating Officer Tim Cook, Jan. 23

Promises, promises, promises … When Apple (AAPL) debuted iTunes Movie Rentals this past January, the company pledged to offer “over 1,000 titles by the end of February, including over 100 titles in stunning high-definition video with 5.1 Dolby Digital surround sound.” Well, today’s March 4 and, as best I can tell, Apple hasn’t kept its promise. Browse iTunes this morning with the software’s “Power Search,” and you’ll find just 411 films for rent–91 of them available in high definition. That’s 589 short of the promised 1,000–a discrepancy of nearly 60%.

Seems Apple may not have Apple TV quite right yet after all–the Hollywood licensing part of it, anyway.

UPDATE: At the Apple shareholder meeting yesterday, CEO Steve Jobs confirmed the discrepancy, saying the company’s goal of 1,000 rental titles on iTunes was short by around 600.

By June, Wal-Mart will only be carrying Blu-ray movies and hardware machines and, of course, standard-def movies, DVD players, and up-convert players.”

–Susan Chronister of Wal-Mart sticks a fork in HD DVD.

HD DVD may soon join Betamax in the consumer electronics industry’s Museum of Failed Formats. Though publicly HD DVD champion Toshiba professes its commitment to the next generation DVD standard, privately it’s plotting its demise. Sources close to the company tell the Hollywood Reporter that the continued marginalization of HD DVD by movie studios and big box retailers like Wal-Mart has driven Toshiba to concede defeat in the DVD format war. The company plans to pull the plug on HD DVD in a matter of weeks. “An announcement is coming soon,” said one source close to the HD DVD camp.

But not soon enough for some, who are finally seeing their predictions of an HD DVD rout borne out. “Blu-ray’s better, and I told everyone,” said film director Michael Bay. “I was very vocal about it. I knew HD [DVD] was not going to make it. Am I thrilled? It really wasn’t my fight, but remember what I said in the press? I was kind of saying HD [DVD]’s going to lose… No one believed me.”

PREVIOUSLY:

• Will the Last Person to Leave the HD DVD Camp Please Turn Off the Blu-ray Player?
• There’s a Singing Fat Lady Here to See You, Sir.
• Ah Yes, a $2.7 Million Super Bowl Ad Will Fix Everything …
• Mistah HD DVD–He Dead …

Turns out Benjamin Disraeli was wrong. There are four, not three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, statistics and Motion Picture Association of America piracy figures.

The MPAA this week admitted that a 2005 study that blamed a significant portion of the film industry’s domestic losses on college movie pirates was erroneous. Touted as “the most accurate and detailed assessment of the film industry’s worldwide losses to piracy,” the study (PDF), described piracy as “the biggest threat to the U.S. motion picture industry” and attributed an astonishing 44% of MPAA company losses in the U.S. to college students.

Hollywood was quick to seize on that statistic and used it as the foundation of a campaign against file-sharing on college networks that would ultimately result in the Curb Illegal Downloading on College Campuses Act, the demonization of the “Top 25 Piracy Schools” and the Higher Education Reform Act, which ties federal higher-education funding to efforts to combat piracy.

Trouble is, that 44% figure was a gross overstatement. In fact, the MPAA now says, just 15% of the movie industry’s domestic losses can be attributed to campus piracy. How did it happen that the study nearly tripled that figure? “Human error,” says the MPAA.

Ah. Well that explains it, then. Makes you wonder about all those other sky-is-falling piracy studies we’ve been bombarded with over the years though, doesn’t it?

“If the reports are true that the new, corrected numbers are way below the initial and highly publicized earlier numbers, then the MPAA owes an apology to the campus community,” Kenneth Green, director of the Campus Computing Project, told Inside Higher Ed. “The corrected MPAA numbers clearly confirm what many of us have said for a very long time: that P2P piracy is primarily a consumer broadband issue, not primarily a campus network issue, and that colleges and universities are more concerned and far more engaged in efforts to stem illegal P2P activity than are consumer broadband providers.”

Reports of HD DVD’s death may have been exaggerated, but reports of its fast-declining health have not.

Though Paramount Pictures has denied reports that it plans to abandon the next-generation DVD format, news of an escape clause in its HD DVD contract allowing it to release films on Blu-ray has the industry wondering aloud about the format’s continued viability.

And for good reason. Earlier this week Universal’s HD DVD-exclusive contract ended. And last Friday, on the eve of the Consumer Electronics Show, Warner Bros. stunned the industry by announcing plans to end support of the format entirely in June. “[That] maybe the pivotal event that resolves the format war,” said Thomas Coughlin of Coughlin Associates. “It certainly changes the rules and the playing field. I think everyone is trying to reassess what this means–including the HD DVD guys. [If Blu-ray does come out on top] it would be poetic justice after the Betamax vs. VHS war. That time, Sony lost.”

But is it truly the format’s death knell? Ovum analyst Carl Gressum says no. “There is a lot of speculation whether this is the end of HD DVD,” he said. “It is not, but we are getting dangerously close to a ‘chapter 11’ for the group. If the other supporting studios now decide to drop HD DVD, the situation will turn dire, and HD DVD could become more of a replacement to DVD on the PC client than as a movie-distribution playback format.”

UPDATE: Universal Pictures flatly denies it’s abandoning the HD DVD format. Said Ken Graffeo, executive vice president of HD strategic marketing for Universal Studios Home Entertainment, “Contrary to unsubstantiated rumors from unnamed sources, Universal’s current plan is to continue to support the HD DVD format.”

“Comcast 3.0.” That was the subject of Comcast CEO Brian Roberts keynote address at the Consumer Electronics Show today. And what is “Comcast 3.0?” Well, like Web 2.0 and 3.0, it’s a marketing term–in Comcast’s case, one for its transformation from “broadband” provider to a “wideband” provider.

In 2008, said Roberts, Comcast will begin upgrading its network to offer significantly faster download speeds. “Wideband takes four channels and bonds them together and will enable speeds to go up from 12 to 16 megabits a second to over 100 megabits a second,” he explained. The technology will be rolled out to “millions” by the end of this year, with more to come–”if it’s as popular as we expect,” he added.

And it undoubtedly will be. At speeds like that, Roberts noted, you could download an HD copy of “Batman Begins” in about four minutes. “Superfast movie downloads are only the beginning,” Roberts said. “This will open a whole new world of Web-based innovation.”

A few other points worth noting:

• Roberts also announced “Project Infinity,” an effort to exponentially expand its video-on-demand programming. “Comcast will put 1,000 HD choices in every Comcast HD home by the end of the year,” Roberts said. “What satellite says they’ll offer pales in comparison.”

• Comcast is now the country’s fourth largest residential phone provider.
• Finally, he pitched Fancast.com, a new online-entertainment portal that gathers film, TV and videos scattered across the Internet in one place. “It’s the content-hungry consumer’s dream,” Roberts said. “With user-generated content, there’s the possibility of millions of choices. You’ll never want to get off the couch.”