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Sirius XM: Cash for Clunker

siriThis week has been a good one for Sirius XM Radio.

The company’s shares spiked, rising about 20 percent to 54 cents on news of the government’s expanded “Cash for Clunkers” program and the positive impact it should have on new car sales and, by extension, new Sirius subscriptions. That analysts had been predicting a second-quarter loss for the satellite radio company, along with the loss of thousands of subscribers, did little to temper enthusiasm. Though it seems to have done so today, now that those predictions have proven true.

Reporting second-quarter earnings this morning, Sirius posted a net loss of $157.3 million, or four cents a share on revenue that rose one percent to $590.8 million. Excluding one-time charges, though, Sirius lost only a penny a share, matching analyst estimates.

As analysts had foreseen, subscriber count slipped again. Sirius ended the quarter with 18.4 million subscribers–a one percent drop from a year ago. All told, the company lost 185,999 net subscribers during the period. And that’s prior to the addition of a $2 royalty fee.

Looking ahead, the satellite radio operator raised its outlook for the year, cautiously optimistic that the car sales that drive subscriptions will pick up in the second half of this year.

“Based on these results we are increasing guidance again and expect to exceed over $400 million in adjusted income from operations during 2009,” CEO Mel Karmazin said in an earnings release. “Growing our revenue in the face of broad declines in the advertising and automotive markets is a remarkable accomplishment, and we are well positioned for a rebound in auto sales.”

Shares in Sirius are trading down 7.41 percent at 50 cents as I write this, which is still 10 times their 52 week low. And, to be fair, they are up almost 10 cents in last 10 trading days and up about 320 percent year-to-date.

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  • chris becker
    Whats with the story title, "Losing Cash"? Investors have been making money on this stock the last 6 months. They met expectations and raised guidance. Your story headline really does not match the facts.
  • Stock's down more than 7 percent, Chris.
  • jeff spicoli
    John. Um. Hello. It's called "profit taking". Duh. It happens a lot or so I'm told after a CC.

    3Q should post a profit for the first time, and you, Cramer and all the other shorts/bashers and naysayers will have to eat crow. :-)
  • Joe Johnson
    John, when you say, 'down 7%' you are correct, down that today, but you could also say, Sirus stock is UP over 20% in the past 5 days. (even with today's dip) Failing to tell the whole story (or twisting the data like you have) is poor writing and I am ashamed of you.
  • Brian Rayl
    Come on?!?! How biased can you get? Analyst expectations were proven true?

    How about the fact that analysts predicted 300k - 400k subscriber losses, and Sirius only lost 176k?
    Or how about the fact that out of those 176k subscriber losses, ONLY 15k were self paying subscribers anyways?!?! The other 161k were PREPAID PROMOTIONAL SUBSCRIBERS that likely decreased because of decrease in car sales?

    How about the fact that the company MET EXPECTATIONS of -0.01 lost per share before one time expenses, which are NOT ACCOUNTED FOR IN ANALYST OPINIONS.

    How about the fact that churn DROPPED from 2.2% in Q1 to 2.0% in Q2?

    EVERYTHING about this company is improving, except for the way near sighted, biased media portrays the company. Or perhaps you are not biased... maybe you simply do not know what you are talking about?

    So which is it sir? Incompetent or biased?
  • Joe ...

    The post begins AND ends by noting the stock's uptick.

    Brian ...

    At 2%, churn is still up from 1.7% a year earlier. And that $157.3 million loss is nearly double what it was a year ago.
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John Paczkowski has been poking fun at the tech industry and the personalities that drive it since 1997. From 1999 to 2007, he wrote the award-winning tech news Web log Good Morning Silicon Valley for the San Jose Mercury News, Silicon Valley's daily newspaper. Read more »

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