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Just Get It Over With Already …

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Microsoft (MSFT) may have no choice but to raise its “generous” $31-per-share hostile bid for Yahoo (YHOO) if it hopes to acquire the company without a messy proxy fight. This according to Citigroup (C) analyst Mark Mahaney, who in a research note to clients today said Microsoft is unlikely to walk away from the deal. “We believe that a YHOO sale to MSFT–at a price likely higher than the initial $31 bid–is the most likely outcome,” Mahaney wrote, suggesting $34 per share as an agreeable price for a company of such strategic value to Microsoft.

After all, the software giant does need Yahoo to compete with Google (GOOG) effectively in the online advertising market–especially now that the search giant has acquired DoubleClick. “Google’s share of U.S. online advertising has significantly increased and the DoubleClick acquisition could materially ramp its display ad biz,” Mahaney said, adding that only by acquiring Yahoo can Microsoft potentially address the scale/liquidity challenge of its ad platform.

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Another View

Kara Swisher

So, no surprise, according to multiple sources I talked to yesterday, the roadshow by top Yahoo execs--CEO and Co-Founder Jerry Yang, President Sue Decker and CFO Blake Jorgensen--to tout the new growth plan the company unveiled last week was not such a hit with shareholders. While the group met with polite audiences, most investors I talked to were unenthusiastic about the plan and dubious that Yahoo's blue-sky hopes would come through. "I think we wanted to give Jerry a hearing, but mostly to save face," said one investor, in a sentiment that was typical.

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About John

John Paczkowski has been poking fun at the tech industry and the personalities that drive it since 1997. From 1999 to 2007, he wrote the award-winning tech news Web log Good Morning Silicon Valley for the San Jose Mercury News, Silicon Valley's daily newspaper.

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Here is a statement of my ethics and coverage policies. It is more than most of you want to know, but, in the age of suspicion of the media, I am laying it all out.

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